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Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis of Nuclear Hybrid Energy Systems...

by Askin Guler Yigitoglu, Michael S Greenwood, Thomas J Harrison
Publication Type
Conference Paper
Journal Name
Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM) Proceedings
Publication Date
Volume
14
Issue
0
Conference Name
The Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management conference (PSAM 14)
Conference Location
Los Angeles, California, United States of America
Conference Sponsor
ANS
Conference Date
-

This paper focuses on developing a framework for comprehensive time-dependent reliability analysis of a nuclear hybrid energy system (NHES) design. Subsystem interactions of this complex integrated system under stochastic electricity demand and load-following operation capabilities requires dynamic reliability assessment of the NHES in component, subsystem and system level. In order to capture the dynamic operational behavior of critical systems and components, a detailed thermal hydraulic model of the NHES is generated using Modelica and tested under different electricity demand histories generated using RAVEN. The physical data (e.g., valve position, flow rates, inlet outlet water temperatures) gathered from Modelica used to calculate time-dependent failure rates through fitting data into the piecewise Weibull distribution. Optimum maintenance interval is calculated, and maintenance cost estimates based on the calculated reliability metric is presented for the selected component. Component time-dependent failure rates fed into the subsystem reliability model built with non-Markovian Stochastic Petri Nets. The component and subsystem failure rates are calculated and updated in every hour to characterize the system behavior appropriately and to understand operational reliability of the NHES design in a given time.