Developing a predictive understanding of Earth systems
The Earth System Modeling Group is developing a predictive understanding of interactions among Earth’s physical, biological, ecological, and human systems, with a focus on numerical simulation and quantitative analysis of coupled Earth systems. By integrating models, observations, and experiments across a range of temporal and spatial scales, the team aims to improve predictive capabilities focused on the Earth system and the key environmental patterns and responses in terrestrial ecosystems. Quantifying the range of results from models provides insight into model processes and parameters that need further research as well as which types of observations and experiments are most useful for further improvements. The team members bring diverse expertise to the research and work with a variety of models, including the Department of Energy’s Energy Exascale Earth System Model.