November 2023

Conference Paper

Traffic Prediction for Merging Coordination Control in Mixed Traffic Scenarios

By:
Shao, Yunli ; Rios Torres, Jackeline
Page Number:
DSCC2020-3
Book Title:
Proceeding of ASME 2020 Dynamic Systems and Control Conference
Publication Date:
November 2023
Conference Name:
Dynamic Systems and Control Conference (DSCC)
Conference Location:
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America
Conference Sponsor:
The American Society of Mechanical Engineers
View DOI Listing:
https://doi.org/10.1115/DSCC2020-3219

Abstract

Connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) have the potential to bring in safety, mobility, and energy benefits to transportation. The control decisions of CAVs are usually determined for a look-ahead horizon based on previewed traffic information. This requires an effective prediction of future traffic conditions and its integration with the CAV control framework. However, the short-term traffic prediction using information from connectivity is a challenging research topic, especially for mixed traffic scenarios. This work focuses on the development of a traffic prediction framework for a merging coordination controller. The previously developed merging controller coordinates the merging sequence and travel speed of CAVs to maximize the energy efficiency and overall mobility. In mixed traffic scenarios, the controller receives information regarding the position of all the vehicles traveling inside a control zone and controls the desired speed of all CAVs. The controller has no control on the human-driven vehicles. The merging controller does not have direct information or an explicit prediction on the behaviors of human-driven vehicles. Aiming to improve the performance of the merging controller in various mixed traffic conditions, a traffic prediction algorithm is developed and evaluated in this work. The performance of this traffic prediction algorithm is investigated for various penetration rates of connectivity for a single-lane secondary road merging to a single-lane primary road. The results show that compared to a constant speed assumption of human-driven vehicles, the proposed traffic prediction algorithm is able to reduce the prediction error of the arrival time of human-driven vehicles at the merging zone by more than 50%.