- By:
- Elzohery, Rabab R; Bostelmann, Friederike ; Procop, Germina
- Journal Name:
- Nuclear Science and Engineering
- Page Number:
- 1-28
- Publication Date:
- April 2026
- View DOI Listing:
- https://doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2026.2626200
Abstract
The HTR-10 was used as a representative pebble-bed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor in this assessment of nuclear data’s impact on important reactor and spent fuel metrics, including safety-related quantities such as the effective multiplication factor (keff), temperature reactivity feedback, spent fuel inventory, and decay heat. Using the SCALE code system tools and ENDF/B-VII.1 nuclear data libraries, we quantify the effect of nuclear data uncertainties on these key performance metrics for both fresh fuel and equilibrium core configurations. For reactor core key parameters, important contributors to uncertainty include reactions of 235U [ν, fission, (n, γ)], 238U [elastic, (n, γ)], and graphite [elastic, (n, γ)]. Additional important contributors for the equilibrium core include reactions of higher actinides (239Pu, 240Pu) and fission products (135Xe, 149Sm). For spent fuel analysis, most nuclide inventory uncertainties remain below 5%. Higher uncertainties up to 11% are being observed for minor actinides like 243Am and 244Cm. Additionally, fission product uncertainties in 155Eu and 155Gd, of 25% and 23% respectively, are also significant and have implications for burnup credit applications. 110mAg also shows high uncertainty of up to 11%, mainly due to fission product yield uncertainties. Decay heat relative uncertainties remain below 0.6% up to 10 years’ cooling time after fuel discharge. The highest relative uncertainty of 1.5% occurs at 500 years of cooling; however, because the decay heat value is very low at that time, the absolute uncertainty is not significant. This work demonstrates that extending assessments beyond fresh fuel keff to include irradiated cores, nuclide inventories, and decay heat is essential in understanding the behavior of uncertainties as a function of fuel burnup and can support improvements of safety margins and spent fuel management.