- * B1, A1B, and A1FI are three greenhouse gas emission scenarios defined by the IPCC
Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), where B1 is a relatively low emissions
scenario (often considered to be a "best case"), A1B is a moderate emissions scenario,
and A1FI is a fossil-fuel intensive emissions scenario (often thought of as a "worst
case"). Recent observations of emissions make the A1FI the most plausible compared to
other scenarios, thus making this the "business as usual" case.
Supporting Materials
- Definition of SPI adopted from:
- McKee, T.B., N.J. Doesken and J. Kleist (1993),
The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, in
Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, 179-184.
- Definition of PEVI adoped from:
- 1. Khan, S., G. Kuhn, A.R. Ganguly, D.J. Erickson III and G. Ostrouchov (2007),
Spatio-temporal variability of daily and weekly precipitation extremes in South America,
Water Resources Research, 43, W11424.
- 2. Kuhn, G., S. Khan, A.R. Ganguly and M. Branstetter (2007),
Geospatial-temporal dependence among weekly precipitation extremes with applications to observations
and climate model simulations in South America,
Advances in Water Resources, 30(12), 2401-2423.
