Explorers from competing teams race to find a mysterious lost city in the heart of Africa. The American team is continuously in touch with its Houston home base through satellite communications. In flight, team leader Karen Ross displays a map of Africa on her computer screen and notes the multicolored lines suggesting different routes from city to city and into the rain forest. Each pathway is accompanied by a precise estimate of travel time to the final destination. Zooming in on the target area, she switches to satellite images and interprets them in shades of blue, purple, and green. At each checkpoint, the team reports its progress and gets a revised estimate of arrival time.

Beset by difficulties, the expl orers ask for a faster route, but the computer says the alternative is too dangerous. A simulation model with data representing geology, terrain, vegetation, weather, and many other geographic factors predicts local hazards, including the impending erupti on of a nearby volcano. The Americans take the faster route anyway and beat the odds.

This fictional account of emerging geographic information system (GIS) technologies comes from Michael Crichton's 1980 novel Congo, which was made into a 1995 movie. The same technologies were highlighted in Clive Cussler's 1988 techno-thriller Treasure. In reality, GIS technology began more than a quarter of a century ago at key universitie s and government laboratories in the United States and Canada. Since 1969, Oak Ridge National Laboratory has been among the leading institutions in this diverse, now booming field. GIS has been evolving through new forms and applications ever since. Consider the following examples of GIS applications that rival and sometimes exceed Crichton's futuristic vision.

For the past three summers, ORNL geographers have moni tored the potentially devastating effects of an Alaskan glacier with an annoying habit of rerouting whole river systems. We drive as far as the roads go or fly over roadless terrain with a color laptop computer that displays Ed Bright's interpretation of satellite images. A dot moves across the screen continuously showing our position on the image and thus on the ground calculated from Global Positioning System (GPS) signals from satellites. We've used the same system successfully in helicopters, boats, a nd even rental cars on the Oregon-Washington coast, the Gulf of Maine, and the North Slope of Alaska.

The roots of our remote sensing and GIS tradition started early at ORNL; more than 20 years ago, ORNL scientists studied some of the first satellited ata from Landsat satellites (then called ERTS). By analyzing computer images of the Cumberland Mountains north of Oak Ridge, we were able to compute and display a three-dimensional perspective view of the coal strip mines in the area and superimpose the n earby streams on the terrain. After developing spatial models, we determined which streams were most likely to receive acid drainage from the strip mines. The visual impacts of strip mining on Oak Ridge residents were also predicted.

With or without satellite imagery, GIS is a powerful tool. In 1990, when the United States and other nations responded to Saddam Hussein's invasion of Kuwait, military leaders mounted the largest a nd most rapid deployment of military personnel and equipment ever attempted. The massive logistics were processed on the Airlift Deployment Analysis System (ADANS) developed at ORNL. ADANS, operating on networked computers, draws on a variety of logistic and spatial technologies to efficiently schedule the transport of U.S military troops and equipment to trouble spots anywhere in the world. Since 1990, ADANS has been used to deploy military personnel and equipment not only to the Persian Gulf but also to Somalia, Rwanda, and Haiti.

In 1995, at ORNL's World Wide Web Showcase, Peter Pace showed a colorful high-resolution image of ORNL buildings and the roads, streams, and forested areas of the surrounding reservation. The view on his computer screen w as constructed from a series of aerial photographs that had been scanned and converted to form a digital image. Various computer techniques were used to enhance and blend a series of images, eliminating unwanted elements and bringing out important details . Special photogrammetric techniques were used to remove distortions from the digitized photos. Each pixel (tiny rectangular element) on the screen represents 0.25 square meter (m2) on the ground. Spatial registration of geographical features in the image is sufficiently accurate that a highly detailed map can be overlaid on the image. Pace zoomed in on a cooling tower and magnified it enough to see the blades of a fan. He printed out an image of the cooling tower alone. He and other ORNL researchers arep reparing geographical data and imagery developed at Oak Ridge for distribution to selected users of the World Wide Web through Netscape, a navigational tool for accessing still and animated images as well as audio and text from the Internet.

Recent g rowth of GIS markets has been phenomenal. In 1994, GIS was listed under "Whole Systems" in the Whole Earth Catalog. Tens of thousands of people and organizations--universities, research centers, municipal planners, tax assessors, corporations, and resourc e managers--have come to depend on GIS for geographic data collection, analysis, and display. The commercial GIS industry, which started in the early 1980s, is now estimated to be worth $3.5 billion.

Today's rosy picture sharply contrasts with the si tuation in 1969 when GIS first began at ORNL. At that time only a few centers--principally Environment Canada, the U.S. Geological Survey, < a href="http://www.hup.harvard.edu/">Harvard University, and ORNL--shared a common interest in solving the riddle of geographic analysis. Along with scientists from these centers and a few leading research universities, early members of ORNL's GIS and Computer Modeling (GCM) Group, led by Richard Durfee, contributed many of the developments that made the current boom possible.

These contributions include fundamental development of early geographic computational techniques that supported and accel erated the growth of a commercial industry; development and integration of key GIS data bases and methodologies; and use of geographic and spatial analysis to provide information to help policymakers make decisions on national issues, such as development of energy sources and protection of water resources and fish populations, and to help government agencies assess natural resources and environmentally contaminated sites needing remediation.

Becaus e of the increased use of GIS technology, a new national Spatial Data Transfer Standard (SDTS) has been established. Pioneering efforts by ORNL researchers Durfee, Bob Edwards, Phil Coleman, and Al Brooks helped build a foundation for the exchange of spat ial data, and Jerry Dobson served on the Steering Committee of the National Committee for Digital Cartographic Data Standards, which composed most of SDTS. President Clinton's recently signed executive order requires all federal agencies to coordinate GIS data activities and make key data bases available to the public.

What Is GIS?

Many people think of GIS as a computer tool for making maps. Actually, it is a complex technology beginning with the digital representation of landscapes ca ptured by cameras, digitizers, or scanners, in some cases transmitted by satellite, and, with the help of computer systems, stored, checked, manipulated, enhanced, analyzed, and displayed as data referenced to the earth. This spatial information includes earth coordinates and geometric and topological configurations to portray spatial relationships between features such as streams, roads, cities, and mountains. GIS is "a digital representation of the landscape of a place (site, region, planet), structured to support analysis." Under this broad definition, GIS conceivably may include process models and transport models as well as mapping and other spatial functions. The ability to integrate and analyze spatial data is what sets GIS apart from the multitude of graphics, computer-aided design and drafting, and mapping software systems.

Typical sources of geographic data for computer manipulation include digitized maps, field survey data, aerial photographs (including infrared photographs), and satellite imagery. Most image data are collected using remote sensing techniques. Aerial photographs are normally taken with special mapping cameras using photographic film. Most commercially available satellite imagery is collected using multispectral scanners, w hich record light intensities in different wavelengths in the spectrum--from infrared through visible light through ultraviolet light.

Spatial information can be represented in two distinctly different forms. Satellite images, for example, usually app ear as raster data, a gridded matrix in which the position of each data point is indicated by its row and column numbers. Each position on a computer screen or map thus corresponds to the position on the ground measured by the satellite as it passes overh ead. In contrast, cartographic features such as roads, boundaries, buildings, and contour lines usually are represented in vector form. In digitizing a lake, for example, the shoreline can be indicated as a series of points and line segments. In this case , each point is measured in Cartesian (X, Y) coordinates and each line segment is measured as a vector leading from one point to the next. The more points recorded, the more detailed the shoreline will be. Both forms, raster and vector, are essential to s upport environmental restoration projects on the ORNL reservation, for instance, and the software must be capable of rapid conversion from one form to the other.

For such geographic information to be meaningful, it must be accompanied by "metadata" d ocumenting the source, description, specifications, accuracy, time of acquisition, and quality of each data element. As GIS technologies and multitudes of geographic data bases have spread to the desktop in the past decade, metadata have become very impor tant. Good metadata are essential in determining fitness of the geospatial data for each intended use--that is, determining which applications can be accomplished while ensuring the desired quality of results and decisions made from those data.

One of the most exciting applications of GIS combined with remote sensing technology is its ability to detect changes in features of large areas of land over many years by analyzing and comparing past and pr esent landscape images. Each pixel can indicate a type of land cover, such as wetlands, forests, pastures, and developed areas. Such technology is now being used to monitor gains and losses in wetlands along the U.S. coast for assessing environmental impa cts on U.S. fisheries. The technology has the potential for monitoring global change. For example, it is possible to detect increases in deforestation, which may alter the climate, or increases in desertification that may result from climate change.

In this article, we focus primarily on ORNL's role in the development and application of GIS to real-world problems over the past 25 years. Over this time, hundreds of projects and tasks involving GIS have been carried out by several organizations at ORNL involving a number of scientists, managers, and sponsors. It would be impossible to mention them all, but we do recognize and appreciate their significant contributions and collective vision for advancing GIS technologies over the years. In addition to t he Computational Physics and Engineering Division, the examples of collaborating organizations within Martin Marietta Energy Systems have included the Energy Division, the Environmental Sciences Division, Chemical Technology Division, the Environmental Restoration Program, Biology Division, Data Systems Research and Dev elopment, and the Hazardous Waste Remedial Action Program. We highlight several of the larger efforts to illustrate the diversity of applications and techniques. We describe some of the early GIS developments and summarize some of the current systems capa bilities. We offer examples in which GIS has proven useful in research and decision support.

History of GIS Development

Actually, the term GIS, though first introduced in 1964, was not extensively used until the late 1970s. The first c omprehensive geographic data management system--called the Oak Ridge Regional Modeling Information System (ORRMIS)--was developed in 1974 at ORNL by Durfee. Its purpose was to integrate and support the data management needs of a series of regional analyti c models depicting and forecasting land-use, environmental, socioeconomic, and sociopolitical activities in the East Tennessee region.

Many early ORNL developments in GIS that are commonplace today are remarkable primarily because of their dates. Exam ples from the 1970s and early 1980s include perspective and isometric drawings of cartographic surfaces, integration of remote sensing and statistical techniques with GIS, raster-vector transformation, viewshed calculation, polygon intersections, transpor tation routing models, and true three-dimensional (3-D) imaging.

ORNL has a long heritage of GIS research, development, and application to complex problems ranging from national issues to site-specific impacts. After presenting an overview of GIS tech nology development in ORNL's computing environment, we discuss three eras of GIS history at ORNL--regional modeling and fundamental development (1969-1976), integrated assessments (1977-1985), and issue-oriented research and analysis (1986-1995).

Evolution of GIS Technology at ORNL

In the past 25 years, GIS software development and applications have migrated from mainframe computers to minicompu ters to personal computers (PCs) to networked UNIX workstations. GIS software is now being modified for use on parallel processors and supercomputers, such as the IBM SP2 and Intel Paragon X/PS machines at ORNL.

In the very early 1970s, a technological feat was the development of a computer-generated 3-D perspective movie by Tom Tucker of ORNL. The movie simulated terrain and population changes over a 40-year p eriod in the Norris, Tennessee, area as Norris Dam began operation as a hydroelectric facility.

Over the years, one of the benefits of these spatial technologies has been their applicability to many different types of problems. One example was the de velopment in the early 1980s of electron microscope tomography for 3-D reconstruction of DNA chromosomes as a collaborative effort led by Don Olins and his colleagues in ORNL's Biology Division in cooperation with the GCM group at ORNL. Adaptation and dev elopment of hardware and software for a commercial remote sensing system, I2S, on GCM minicomputers played a major role in the analysis of electron micrographs and display of chromosome structures. When it was determined that more sophisticated true 3-D d isplays were needed, a special varifocal mirror display was built. Depth visualization was provided by a vibrating mylar mirror synchronized with a monitor mounted above the mirror whose image was reflected to the operator. Data at greater depths were di splayed when the mirror was at a greater deflection, thus varying the focal length to correspond to the appropriate depth. This occurred at a rate of 60 times per second, so the observer saw a continuous 3-D image.

Another ORNL breakthrough in GIS technology in the mid-1970s was the development of vector-based algorithms and their eventual integration with raster-based grid cell systems. The GCM group used these techniques for a ll types of water-resource and energy-related studies in collaboration with the Energy Division. In the late 1970s, ORNL developed transportation data bases and capabilities for routing hazardous was tes across the United States. Through use of GIS technology to match proposed routes with population density, the health and safety risks of hazardous waste transport could be estimated.

Another technical development in the 1980s was integration of video information with digital data in the computer by Steve Margle and Ed Tinnel at ORNL. Raster digitization of video signals and the introduction of laser video discs opened up a whole new way of d ealing with graphic and map data. Working in cooperation with the Data Systems Research and Development organization, the GCM group demonstrated the feasibility of using video from scanned map images recorded on laser video discs for simulations of war ga mes as training exercises on a high-resolution workstation. In this technique implemented by Beverly Zygmunt, multiple video frames were located, computerized, and combined into large electronic maps that could be roamed and overlaid with other geographic and military information in real time.

Throughout the 1980s and into the 1990s, development of new GIS hardware and software technologies made new applications possible and improved our ability to solve old problems. It is interesting to note that some of our primary GIS applications in the first half of the 1990s have addressed a legacy of environmental problems, just as many initial applications in the early 1970s promoted GIS to help evaluate e nvironmental impacts.

Some of the latest GIS research under way at ORNL involves developing software for use on parallel-processing supercomputers. Very recent work has shown that, by significant improvement of algorithms and by using parallel process ors on ORNL supercomputers, the transformation and interpolation (estimation of values between data points) of large GIS data sets can be done 50 to 18,000 times faster than on smaller Sparc workstations. Because of the explosion in data collection from a ll types of earth sensor systems, workstations and supercomputers must be integrated to handle massive volumes of data.

We are also integrating portable GIS capabilities with GPS in which relative positions of objects on the earth can be pinpointed i n real time by satellite sensors in communication with hand-held devices. As this technology becomes more commonplace, geospatial data will be collected at an ever increasing rate. Real-time airborne GPS techniques have already been used in aerial surveys of the Oak Ridge Reservation to collect high-resolution aerial photography with accurate positioning information. Computerized stereo techniques are being used with special goggles to help generate orthographic images (digital images corrected for camera, terrain, and other distortions) from stereo photography. Also, 3-D subsurface modeling and visualization are being done for hazardous waste studies.

To provide intelligent and efficient access to large amounts of geospatial data, work is under way to prepare and load this information on Internet and World Wide Web servers, which can be accessed by data browsing tools such as Mosaic and Nets cape. These capabilities are important to the Oak Ridge user community and to the success of the National Spatial Data Infrastructure (NSDI) during the 1990s.

Regional Modeling and GIS Developmen t (1969-1976)

In 1969, the U.S. Congress passed the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), the National Science Foundation (NSF) initiated the Research Applied to National Needs (RANN) program, Ian McHarg published Design with Nature, and ORNL delved headlong into regional modeling and GIS. Clearly, NEPA was a major impetus to the other three events.

Before NEPA, research and development, infrastructural development, and resource management decisions had been based almost exclusively on engineering and cost-benefit considerations. Suddenly, NEPA thrust all large enterprises, including the federal government itself, into a new legal and ethical milieu in which comprehensive, interdisciplinary analyses were absolutely essential. Alvin Weinberg, director of the Laboratory from 1955 to 1973, immediately recognized the need and sought to diversify the Laboratory's missions.

For GIS, the most important development in the early days at ORNL was the Oak Ridge Regional Modeling Information System and associated tools that supported spatial data input and display. The primary purpose was "to provide the data management capability for analysis models which forecast the spatial distribution and ecological effects of activities within a geographical region." The land-use modeling efforts became the principal impetus to remote sensing development as well as to the GIS expansions.

Initial GIS software techniques were based on hierarchical grid cell systems. It became apparent that additional capabilities were needed for accurate cartographic representation and analysis of vector-based map data. By the mid-1970s, development of so phisticated polygonal-based GIS systems at ORNL were well under way. Our development of efficient storage and computational techniques for integrating raster-based grid cell and vector-based systems opened the door to addressing larger and more complex pr oblems with a national scope. Incorporation of new algorithms designed by Phil Coleman and Bob Edwards provided a capability for analyzing and displaying large national data bases.

Integrated Assessments (1977-1985)

In the mid-1970s, a shift in federal policy greatly reduced NSF funding for the DOE national laboratories. From then on, hardly another penny was received to support basic research, development, or operation of GIS systems at ORNL. The GCM group and the Energy Division shifted to applications-driven research, the funding for which allowed continued development and operations.

We never had the luxury of focusing on a particular technology (remote sensing or computer cartography, for instance) to the exclusion of other technologies. We were then, and are still, comprehensive integrators with analytical purposes paramount in everything we do. In many respects, this approach has been advantageous because (1) the integra ted GIS technologies were then applicable to a wide range of spatial problems, and (2) the applications-driven development minimized "ivory-tower" research looking for a problem to solve.


The first seeds of the new order were sown in 1975 when Richard Durfee and Bob Honea used ORRMIS tools for predictive modeling of coal strip mining and associated environmental problems. Results of this work were presented to Robert Seamans, head of the Energy Res earch and Development Administration (ERDA), predecessor to DOE. Soon afterward, we became heavily involved in siting analysis. In 1975 and 1976, ORNL systems were used, along with data from the Maryland Automated Geographic Information System, to support conflict resolution in power plant siting. By the late 1970s, these systems were heavily involved in decision support for federal energy policy and resource management. ORNL employed GIS extensively to evaluate the environmental impacts of various propos ed National Energy Plans. Later, we predicted the amount of coal that could be produced from federally leased lands and evaluated the impacts on energy supply of designating certain lands as wilderness areas, thus protecting them from exploration for and extraction of oil, gas, and uranium.

During the mid-to-late 1970s, the Laboratory played a major role in the National Uranium Resource Evaluation (NURE) Program. ORNL's Computer Sciences Division (now the Computational Physics and Engineering Divisi on), in cooperation with DOE's Grand Junction Office, was the national repository for all data collected and analyzed to assess the availability and location of potential uranium resources for future commercial nuclear power, research reactors, and other uses. ORNL staff were responsible for overall data management, GIS processing, spatial analysis, and mapping. Al Brooks was director of the Oak Ridge effort to support DOE in surveying the country for potential uranium resources and estimating possible re serves. Through a multitude of subcontractors, DOE conducted both aerial radiometric and geomagnetic surveys and hydrogeologic ground sampling on a quadrangle-by-quadrangle basis across the United States.

The aircraft had special sensors to detect ra dioactive isotopes of elements such as bismuth, thallium, and potassium as well as magnetic fields.

One example of highly specialized GIS work at ORNL was Ed Ti nnel's development, in cooperation with Bill Hinze of Purdue University , of spatial filtering, interpolation, and contouring techniques to convert one-dimensional flight line data into meaningful maps of regional magnetic data. The purpose was to use these data to help study geologic features and identify magnetic anomalies that might indicate the presence of mineral deposits. These maps were also provided to the U.S. Geological Survey for publication. This was o ne of the earliest projects that required the handling of massive amounts of spatial, tabular, and textual information of many different types. During this time specialized GIS hardware systems were implemented to provide new ways of digitizing and displa ying large amounts of geographic data.

Multiple energy assessments were early examples of policy analysis using GIS. A flurry of activity began each time President Jimmy Carter proposed a new National Energy Plan. Econometric models were run by the Energy Information Administration to project, as far as the year 2000, energy demand and fuel use by type in each major region of the country. These regional projections were passed t o ORNL, where energy demand was disaggregated by Dave Vogt to Bureau of Economic Analysis Regions and supply was allocated to counties. Around 1980 Ed Hillsman and others of the Energy Division proje cted electrical generation from each existing plant and simulated construction or retirement of different plants by fuel type to determine if the president's goals would be met. Dobson and Alf Shepherd projected the amount of water needed for energy produ ction and compared it with the amount of water available in each basin in the United States. ORNL's projections of electrical generation for different areas were passed to other national laboratories (Argonne, Brookhaven, Los Alamos, and the Solar Energy Research Institute), which used the information to evaluate effects on air quality, water quality, and labor supply. All results were reported to DOE, which conducted policy analysis of the feasibility of each proposed p lan. Results of one GIS assessment of the projected water consumption by energy facilities in the Ohio River Basin were shown to President Carter in a live presentation using a graphics station when he visited ORNL in 1978.


In short, as early as the 1970s the nation's energy system and many pertinent physical and cultural features were simulated through GIS in linkage with econometric models, location-alloc ation models, environmental assessment models, and spatial data bases. The principal output was by county, but many of the data bases and computations covered details finer than the county level. For example, the data bases included population at the Enum eration District level, all power plants over 10 megawatts in generating capacity and all U.S. Geological Survey stream gauging station records. The models were as sophisticated as any i n use at that time with or without GIS.


Another major multiyear effort involving ORNL researchers in the early 1980s was the development of a national aband oned mine lands inventory for the Office of Surface Mining (OSM) of the Department of the Interior. This effort, headed by Bob Honea, was based on federal legislation mandating that abandoned mine lands be reclaimed to protect human health, safety, welfare, and the environment, using funds collected as taxes on mining operations. A national inventory of abandoned mine lands was necessary to determine the affected areas in urgent need of reclamation and to e stablish priorities for reclamation of other sites. The effort was initially viewed as a technology-based project involving heavy use of remote sensing, GIS, record-based information systems, and statistical tools.

It was anticipated that analysis of Landsat satellite imagery would be a key ingredient for identifying detailed impacts from the disturbed, abandoned lands. However, an interesting turn of events made the project much more difficult than expected. When attempts were made to use results fr om satellite analyses to meet the mandates in the legislation, we found that the worst threats to human health and safety (e.g., open mine shafts, acid drainage, polluted water supplies) could not be determined from satellite data. Major environmental imp acts could be addressed by analyzing satellite images, but health and safety impacts and reclamation cost estimates required field data collection and field assessment efforts. Thus, a major field collection effort, which included on-site interviews with affected populations, was carried out in conjunction with the state agencies of all the coal-mining states. Unique information handling techniques were devised to standardize and computerize textual, tabular, temporal, and spatial data from forms and maps that could then be linked with GIS for spatial aggregation, statistics, and mapping. Don Wilson was responsible for overseeing the computerization of all this information and development of a consolidated data base. These results could then support asses sments at the state, regional, and national levels to aid OSM in allocating reclamation funds and overseeing mitigation of the severest problems.

Methodologies developed at ORNL for one application were readily adapted and applied to other problems. For example, our initial demographic work of the late 1970s was extended to compute detailed population distributions for any place or region in the United States.


The technique was used by Phil Coleman and Durfee to compute population distributions around all nuclear power plants in the United States. Our results, including the calcul ation of population exclusion zones, enabled the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to assess these exclusion areas--regions where additional nuclear power plants should not be built because too many people live or work there--to help make planning and licensi ng decisions.

Issue-Oriented Research and Analysis (1986-1995)

Starting in the mid-1980s, the emphasis shifted again, this time in a very positive direction, as GIS became an important tool in topical research on scientific issues of national interest, as illustrated in these four examples.

Lake Acidification and Acid Precipitation. Acid precipitation can cause water in lakes to acidify, potentially reducing fish populations. Lake acidification and other environmenta l issues that may be related to acid precipitation were major themes of GIS work at ORNL in the late 1980s. The Environmental Sciences Division (ESD) was involved prominently in the National Acid Precipitation Asse ssment Program (NAPAP), especially the National Surface Water Survey. Through extensive collaboration with U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) laboratories and numerous universities and private firms, Dick Olson, Carolyn Hunsaker, and other ESD personnel collected, managed, and analyzed massive geographic data bases for lakes and watersheds throughout the United States. The goal was to characterize contemporary chemistry, temporal variability, and key biological resources of lakes and streams in regions potentially sensitive to acid precipitation.

Simultaneously, the Energy Division approached the same problem from a different perspecti ve. While NAPAP focused on impacts of acid precipitation, this project focused on watersheds and investigated possible causes of lake acidification.


In 195 0, a huge storm with heavy rain and 105-mile-per-hour winds blew down numerous trees in 171,000 hectares of forest in the Adirondack Mountains of New York. In the 1980s it was observed that several lakes in the area were acidified, so one hypothesis was t hat the blowdown of the forest might be a cause. To determine if a relationship existed between the forest blowdown and lake acidification, Dobson and Dick Rush of ORNL and Bob Peplies of East Tennessee State Univers ity used an approach that combined GIS and digital remote sensing with the traditional field methods of geography. The methods of analysis consisted of direct observation, interpretation of satellite images and aerial photographs, and statistical comp arison of two geographical distributions--one representing forest blowdown and another representing lake chemistry.

Associations in time and space between surface water acidity levels (pH) and lan dscape disturbance were found to be strong and consistent in the Adirondacks. Evidence of a temporal association was found at Big Moose Lake and Jerseyfield Lake in New York and at the Lygners Vider Plateau of Sweden. The ORNL researchers concluded that f orest blowdown facilitated the acidification of some lakes by altering pathways for water transport. They suggested that waters previously acidified by acid deposition or other sources were not neutralized by contact with subsurface soils and bedrock, as is normally the case. Increased water flow through "pipes"--small tunnels formed as roots decayed--was proposed as the mechanism that may link biogeochemical impacts of forest blowdown to lake chemistry.

Both efforts illustrate an ORNL strength--the ability to assemble multidisciplinary teams and multiple organizations to attack complex problems. GIS, in itself, is an integrating technology because it draws together different sciences that have a common need for spatial data, visualization, and anal ysis capabilities. Such was the case in the acidification studies just described. Although primary responsibility for these two efforts rested separately in the Energy and Environmental Sciences divisions, the GCM group was heavily involved in both efforts. Thus, considerable interaction took place between the two projects. Since then, ESD, in cooperation with GCM and other groups, has continued to expand its GIS capabilities and resources. ESD scientists now have hands-on access to GIS systems and data bases to support a multitude of research efforts.

Coastal Change Analysis. For decades, the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has been concerned about declining fish populations in U.S. coastal waters. Suspecting that these declines might be caused by losses of habitat, such as saltmarshes and seagrasses, and increases in pollution resulting from expanding urban and rural development, as well as agriculture, NMFS initiated a research effort to solve the technical, institutional, and methodological problems of large-area change analysis--methods for determining the time, location, and degree of changes in large areas to better understand changes in ecosystems and ecological processes. ORNL has led the technical effort to improve metho ds for analyses of changes in uplands and wetlands, detected by satellite sensors, and to perform prototype satellite change analysis of the Chesapeake Bay. Integration of these remote sensing and GIS methodologies in a laboratory environment, in field in vestigations, in workshop settings, and for presentations and briefings in policy and management arenas shows how much this evolving technology is becoming ingrained in all phases of earth-sciences work.

The Coastal Change Analysis Program (C-CAP) is developing a nationally standardized data base of land cover and land-cover change in the coastal regions of the United States. As part of the Coastal Ocean Program (COP), C-CAP inventories coastal and submerged wetland habitats and adjacent uplands and monitors changes in these habitats over one to five years. This type of information and frequency of detection are required to improve scientific understanding of the linkages of coastal and submerged wetland habitats with adjacent uplands and with the distribution, abundance, and health of living marine resources. Satellite imagery (primarily Landsat Thematic Mapper), aerial ph otographs, and field data are interpreted, classified, analyzed, and integrated with other digital data in a GIS. The resulting land-cover change data bases are disseminated in digital form for use by anyone wishing to conduct geographic analysis in the c ompleted regions.


Land cover change analysis has been completed for the Chesapeake Bay based on Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) data. The resulting data base consists of land cover by class for 1984, land cover by class for 1988 and 1989, and a matrix of changes by class from 1984 to 1988-89. We found that, contrary to popular opinion, marshland in the Chesapeake Bay region increased slightly during the period. However, both forested wetlands and upl and forests declined significantly, while land development expanded rapidly. At greater detail, we observed the formation of a new barrier island and recorded lateral movement of portions of its tip by almost a kilometer.

Although the Chesapeake Bay prototype focused on a single region, its purpose was to provide a technical and methodological foundation for change analysis throughout the entire U.S. coast. Four regional worksho ps (Southeast, Northeast, Great Lakes, and Pacific) addressed a full range of generic issues and identified the issues of special interest in each major coastal division of the United States. Ultimately, the protocol development effort involved more than 250 technical specialists, regional experts, and agency representatives.

During the summer of 1994, field work was conducted in the Gulf of Maine, along the Oregon and Washington coast, and in Alaska. The Alaskan study is especially interesting.

In 1986, the Hubbard Glacier moved, closing the narrow opening between the glacier and Russell Fiord's Gilbert Point on the coastline of Alaska. The ice dam later burst as the fiord's water rose, and the narrow opening was restored. The event was worrisom e to salmon fishermen because the fiord's alternative outlet to the sea could destroy the unique stock of sockeye salmon that spawn in the Situk River. The glacier is poised to move again, and the new, more permanent ice dam that is expected could cause t he fiord to empty through the Situk watershed, drastically altering its ecosystem.

Using satellite images of the Alaskan coastline from various years, we are identifying changes in the Alaskan coastline that will help predict the impacts on fisheries when the glacier closes the gap again. If the Situk River salmon are threatened, it may be necessary to transplant some of them to less vulnerable streams.


In studying satellite images, we have looked for changes in land cover from 1986 on and tried to quantify these changes on a regional basis. For example, we have looked at changes in the size and shape of woodlands, wetlands, grasslands, and bare ground over a period of years to characterizec oastal changes. We are trying to model the direct relationship between land-cover changes and ecological processes.

To verify the accuracy of our interpretations of the satellite data, we visit the imaged sites. In 1993 and 1994, Ed Bright and Dobson went to Alaska to conduct field verification of a 1986 land-cover classification in the Yakutat Foreland and Russell Fiord. Now, when we do field work, we use a hand-held GPS device linked directly to a color laptop computer. Commercial software integrate s the live GPS location coordinates with raster images representing land cover and with vector images representing other features such as roads. The device has more than doubled productivity in the field. We are currently designing a modeling approach tha t will link GIS, transport models, and process models to address the linkage between land-cover change and fisheries.

Environmental Restoration. To clean up a legacy of environmental contamination and to comply with environmental regulation s, U.S. government facilities must locate, characterize, remove or treat, and properly dispose of hazardous waste. In the 1980s, ORNL researchers helped develop geographic workstations, spatial algorithms, 3-D subsurface modeling techniques, and data base systems for handling hazardous waste problems at Air Force installations. Later, this work provided a foundation for supporting environmental restoration activities at DOE facilities. Since the late 1980s, environmental restoration has become a major the me for GIS activities at ORNL. The integration of GIS with other technologies provides an important resource to support hazardous waste assessment and management, remediation, and policy formulation for environmental cleanup at DOE facilities. The locatio ns of waste areas (i.e., surface operable units) across the DOE Oak Ridge Reservation (ORR) are represented by the bold polygons shown on the following map.


In conducting successful cleanup efforts and meeting regulatory requirements at these facilities, GIS can assist in many ways. Key aspects include investigation of the types and characteristics of contaminants; the location of possible pollutant source s; previous waste disposal techniques; the spatial extent of contamination; relationships among nearby waste sites; current and past environmental conditions, including surface, subsurface, and groundwater characteristics; possible pollutant transport me chanisms; efficient methods for analyzing and managing the information; effective cleanup strategies; and mechanisms for long-term monitoring to verify compliance.

Three programs that involve significant GIS activities in support of environmental rest oration (ER) in Oak Ridge include the Oak Ridge Environmental Information System (OREIS), the Remote Sensing and Special Surveys (RSSS) Program, and the GIS and Spatial Technologies (GISST) Program. The OREIS effort is designed to meet environmental data management, analysis, storage, and dissemination needs in compliance with federal and state regulatory agreements for all five DOE facilities operated by Lockheed Martin Energy Systems. The primary focus of th is effort has been to develop a consolidated data base, an environmental information system, and data management procedures that will ensure the integrity and legal defensibility of environmental and geographic data throughout the facilities. The informat ion system is composed of an integrated suite of GIS, relational data base management, and statistical tools under the control of a user-friendly interface. The OREIS effort, previously led by Larry Voorhees and Raymond McCord, is now being directed byD avid Herr.


The RSSS Program under Amy King supports ER site characterization, problem identification, and remediation efforts through the collection and analysis of data from aircraft and other re mote sensors. One example has been helicopter radiometric surveys to determine gamma radiation levels across mapped areas of DOE facilities. GIS and remote sensing techniques also aid in the interpretation and visualization of airborne multispectral scan ner data, thermal imagery, infrared and natural color photography, and electromagnetic and magnetic survey analyses. The following map shows examples of these types of processed information. Integrated results from such analyses are useful in locating po tentially contaminated and affected areas, as well as possible underground structures that may be pertinent to hazardous waste burial and migration. Another example has been the delineation of waste trenches in burial ground areas that may be a source of waterborne contaminants requiring remediation. The RSSS Program is also responsible for surveys of environmentally sensitive areas on the ORR.


The GISST effort, under Durfee, promotes the development, maintenance, and application of GIS technology, data bases, and standards throughout the ER Program. The largest activity currently under way is the development of base map data, digital orthophotos, and ele vation models for all Energy Systems facilities using advanced stereo photogrammetric techniques based on real-time airborne GPS. When completed, these terrain data will be the most comprehensive GIS and orthoimage coverages of any DOE reservation. This p roject, under the technical direction of Mark Tuttle, is being carried out in cooperation with the Tennessee Valley Authority. Desktop mapping systems are being integrated into the daily operations of many Oak Ridge staff devoted to monitoring and cleanin g up the ORR. To support these activities, a repository of the resulting data from this project is being made available to users networked into a local file server, which will soon be accessible as a World Wide Web server. These GIS data provide a consist ent, current, and accurate base map that can be integrated with all other types of environmental and pollutant data for analysis and reporting.


The fusion of all types of spatial data is an important tool for any environmental activity on the ORR. Through these and other ER programs, facility data and environmental data bases have been developed to improve understanding of relationships among pollutant sou rces, surface and subsurface pathways, and receptors of environmental contaminants. Three-dimensional modeling, data management, and contaminant analysis have been enhanced through integration of computer tools and geospatial data. All these resources ar e becoming an integral part of the remediation planning and cleanup process, supported through communication networks linking scientists, engineers, and decision makers with analytical software and data bases.

Transportation Modeling and Analys is. Transportation systems and networks are crucial to the U. S. economy and way of life. GIS is used increasingly to plan, develop, and manage transportation infrastructures (e.g., highway, railway, waterway, and air transport networks) with the goal of improving efficiency in construction and operation.


Three main centers heavily involved in transportation modeling and geographic networks are the Energy Division (ED), the Chemical Technology Division (CTD), and the Computational Physics and Engineering Division (CPED). CTD has been primarily s upporting DOE transportation needs in collaboration with CPED; ED has been supporting the Department of Transportation; and both ED and CPED have been supporting the Department of Defense. Collectively, the three groups have developed detailed representat ions of highway, railway, and waterway networks for the United States and military air transport networks for the entire world. ED, for example, is the developer and proprietor of the National Highway Planning System and the initial INTERLINE railway rout ing model. CTD has had a major responsibility for routing and assessing hazardous materials on the nation's highway and rail systems for many years (see figure above). They have enhanced and adapted the INTERLINE and HIGHWAY routing models to assist in t his work. CPED has been a major developer of the Joint Flow and Analysis System for Transportation (JFAST), which is a multimodal transportation analysis model designed for the U.S. Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM) and the Joint Planning Community.

Operations Desert Shield and Desert Storm (1990-1991) involved the largest airlift of personnel and equipment from region to region ever accomplished. The U. S. Air Force's Military Airlift Command, n ow the Air Mobility Command (AMC), was responsible for this movement from the United States and Europe to the Persian Gulf region. Prior to that event, ORNL had worked with AMC to develop the Airlift Deployment Analysis System (ADANS), a series of schedul ing algorithms and tools that enabled AMC to schedule missions to and from the Persian Gulf more rapidly and efficiently than ever before. ADANS is currently being used 24 hours per day by AMC to schedule peacetime, exercise, and contingency missions, as well as peacekeeping relief and humanitarian operations. Some of the key members of the ADANS team have included Glen Harrison, Mike Hilliard, Ron Kraemer, Cheng Liu, Steve Margle, and Irene Robbins.

< br> The ADANS architecture is based on a relational data base management system, which operates on a network of powerful, UNIX-based workstations stretching across the United States with current installations at ORNL; Scott Air Force Base, Illinois; and T ravis Air Force Base, California. PCs are used to perform some functions. The configuration includes a data base management system, a form generation tool, graphical display tools, a report generation system, communication software, a windowing system, an d more than 500,000 lines of ADANS-unique code. All modules exchange data and run asynchronously. Thus, schedule planners can use the windowing system to keep track of and to modify multiple pieces of information. The three main components of the user int erface are movement requirement and airlift resources data management, schedule analysis, and algorithm interaction.

All data and algorithms are geographically explicit. The user inputs data on a station-by-station basis with the textual network edito r; the graphical network editor allows the user to establish a network and to enter or to edit information directly on a world map. With this system, it is easy to determine how cargo and passengers were moved, how many were moved as required, and to wha t aircraft they were assigned.

The JFAST effort, initiated by Brian Jones, is designed to determine transportation requirements, perform course of action analysis, and project delivery profiles of troops and equipment by air, land, and sea. JFAST was u sed in Desert Shield to analyze the airlift and sealift transportation requirements for deploying U.S. forces to the Middle East and predict their arrival dates in-theater. These deployment estimates provided input for establishing concepts and timing for military operations. Under Brian Jones' direction during Desert Storm, JFAST was also used to track ships, provide delivery forecasts, and analyze what-if scenarios such as canal closings and maintenance delays. In addition to analyzing support for human itarian efforts such as those in Rwanda and Somalia, USTRANSCOM and the Joint Planning Community use JFAST to determine the transportation feasibility of deployment plans.

JFAST incorporates a graphical user interface that makes significant use of geo graphic display of transportation data as well as other graphic displays to aid the planner in understanding the output from the flow models. To assist in preparing briefings, all JFAST screens and graphic displays can be captured and inserted directly in to presentation software while JFAST is running. Data from JFAST can also be sent directly to other Windows(TM)-compliant applications, such as spreadsheets and word processing packages.

ORNL's Role in the GIS Revolution

After a quarter of a century, how have GIS developments and applications at ORNL advanced science and served the national interest? ORNL has played an instrumental role in the GIS revolution by establishing and implementing a coherent vision that has been welcome d by scientific, policy, and management communities. ORNL has advanced the use of GIS within our national infrastructure. Today, commercial GIS products address many of the technical needs that required so much of our effort in the past, and the researchf rontiers have moved on to more complex methodological issues. However, no single commercial product today will handle all the current needs for GIS and related spatial technologies. One of our ongoing roles will be integration of multiple products with in -house technologies to best meet real-world needs that arise.


For the future, we envision linkages of GIS with environmental transport models and process models traditionally used by biologists, e cologists, and economists; implementation of GIS and digital remote-sensing techniques on supercomputers; 3-D GIS visualization and analysis; temporal analysis in a spatial context, and improved statistical analysis capabilities for geographic and other s patial data. The use of supercomputers will become even more important as new data collections--for example, the next generation of high-resolution satellite imagery--inundate the scientific community with terabytes of information. Justification for colle cting and using these data will depend on the ability to extract meaningful information using supercomputer technology. We are currently addressing these and other technological issues, such as GIS animation, telecommunications, and real-time GPS and vide o linkage with GIS.

We hope to maintain a leadership position through continued advancement of hardware and graphics systems, GIS software, and data bases that will more effectively solve complex spatial problems. We think that knowledge-based expert systems will play a role in advancing future development and use of GIS technologies. We intend to assist the GIS community in improving standards and quality assurance procedures, and we look forward to assisting in enhancement of the National Spatial D ata Infrastructure.

Ultimately, we view GIS as an integrating technology with the potential to improve all branches of science that involve location, place, or movement. Consider, for example, that most of the advances in medical imaging have been bas ed on visual analysis. Imagine how much greater the potential would be if the images were enhanced by data structures, models, and analytical tools similar to those employed in analysis of the three-dimensional earth. We envision that certain technologica l thresholds will open the door to entire fields. For example, true 3-D analysis (more than visualization) and temporal GIS should provide new insights to geophysicists studying plate tectonics and the dynamic forces operating beneath the earth's surface. The single advancement of linking GIS with environmental transport models and process models will suddenly enable scientists and professionals in numerous other disciplines to incorporate spatial logic and geographical analysis alongside their traditiona l approaches. As these and other developments take place, a truly revolutionary new form of science should emerge.


BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES

Jerome E. Dobson (left) is a senior res earch staff member in ORNL's Computational Physics and Engineering Division. He currently serves as chairman of the Interim Research Committee of the University Consortium for Geographic Information Science, scientific editor of the International GIS Sourcebook, and a contributing editor and member of the editorial advisory board of GIS World. He holds a Ph.D. degree in geography from the University of Tennessee. He joined the ORNL staff in 1975. He is a former chairman of the Geographic Information Systems Specialty Group, Association of American Geographers, and member of the Steering Committee of the National Committee for Digital Cartographic Data Standards. He previously served as leader of the Resource Analysis Group in ORNL's Energy Division, as visiting associate professor with the Departme nt of Geography at Arizona State University, as a member of the editorial board of The Professional Geographer, and as a member of the Steering Committee of the Applied Geography Conferences. Dobson was co-founder and first chairman of the Energy Specialt y Group of the Association of American Geographers. He proposed the paradigm of automated geography, and he was instrumental in originating the The National Center for Geographic Information and Analysis and in est ablishing the Coastal Change Analysis Program (C-CAP) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Employing geographic information systems (GIS) and automated geographic methods, he has proposed new evidence and theory regarding the mechanisms responsible for lake acidification and regarding continental drift and plate tectonics.

Richard Durfee is head of the Geographic Information Systems and Computer Modeling Group (GCM) in ORNL's Computational Physics and Engineering Division. He is also program manager of the GIS and Spatial Technologies Program for Environmental Restoration supporting DOE's Lockheed Martin Energy Systems facilities. He is responsible for an advanced GI S Computing and Technology Center at ORNL with special facilities for analyzing and displaying all types of geospatial information. Previously, he was head of the Geographic Data Systems Group in the former Computer Applications Division and section head in the former Computing and Telecommunications Division. He joined ORNL in 1965 as a member of the Mathematics Division. He has an M.S. degree in physics from the University of Tennessee. An expert in GIS and remote sensing technologies, he served on the initial steering committee for the DOE Environmental Restoration GIS Information Exchange conferences and for the early DOE Interlaboratory Working Group on Data Exchange. He was also an early member of the Federal Interagency Coordinating Committee on Di gital Cartography. He is coauthor of many publications and presentations, including a GIS-related presentation to President Carter during his visit to ORNL in 1978. For more than 25 years, he has researched and directed a wide range of GIS technologies su pporting hundreds of applications for more than 15 different federal agencies.


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